Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#269
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#239
Pace77.4#45
Improvement+1.5#121

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#167
First Shot+0.9#151
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#231
Layup/Dunks+1.9#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#111
Freethrows-1.0#247
Improvement+3.2#37

Defense
Total Defense-6.9#332
First Shot-5.6#329
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#295
Layups/Dunks-3.2#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#233
Freethrows-3.6#340
Improvement-1.8#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four94.9% n/a n/a
First Round50.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 5   @ Villanova L 54-91 1%     0 - 1 -15.2 -14.2 +2.6
  Nov 18, 2015 251   Army L 85-96 57%     0 - 2 -19.4 -3.8 -13.9
  Nov 21, 2015 148   @ Fordham L 62-85 16%     0 - 3 -19.1 -13.4 -3.5
  Nov 24, 2015 270   @ Delaware L 72-73 39%     0 - 4 -4.8 -4.9 +0.0
  Nov 28, 2015 207   St. Peter's W 77-62 47%     1 - 4 +9.1 +7.0 +2.6
  Nov 30, 2015 76   @ Princeton L 61-91 7%     1 - 5 -19.6 -13.3 -4.0
  Dec 02, 2015 84   @ Temple L 70-79 7%     1 - 6 +0.5 +4.4 -3.9
  Dec 09, 2015 324   @ Lafayette W 91-89 OT 57%     2 - 6 -6.6 -10.2 +3.1
  Dec 18, 2015 140   Towson W 69-68 30%     3 - 6 -0.1 -0.6 +0.5
  Dec 23, 2015 271   @ Rutgers L 64-72 40%     3 - 7 -12.1 -10.5 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2016 274   St. Francis Brooklyn W 86-77 63%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -1.2 +8.8 -10.3
  Jan 04, 2016 343   Bryant L 80-85 84%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -22.4 -7.2 -14.8
  Jan 07, 2016 298   @ Sacred Heart W 80-68 47%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +6.0 +0.6 +5.1
  Jan 09, 2016 351   Central Connecticut St. W 92-73 90%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -1.7 +1.7 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2016 297   @ St. Francis (PA) W 71-59 47%     7 - 8 4 - 1 +6.0 -2.4 +9.1
  Jan 16, 2016 306   @ Robert Morris L 58-64 50%     7 - 9 4 - 2 -12.6 -9.7 -3.4
  Jan 21, 2016 287   LIU Brooklyn W 101-95 66%     8 - 9 5 - 2 -5.0 +9.5 -15.1
  Jan 24, 2016 262   Mount St. Mary's L 72-87 59%     8 - 10 5 - 3 -24.1 -7.7 -15.1
  Jan 28, 2016 297   St. Francis (PA) W 86-82 OT 69%     9 - 10 6 - 3 -7.8 -0.1 -8.0
  Jan 30, 2016 287   @ LIU Brooklyn W 88-85 44%     10 - 10 7 - 3 -2.1 +2.6 -5.1
  Feb 04, 2016 199   @ Wagner W 82-79 OT 24%     11 - 10 8 - 3 +3.7 +3.5 -0.1
  Feb 06, 2016 274   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 71-85 41%     11 - 11 8 - 4 -18.4 -5.7 -11.6
  Feb 11, 2016 343   @ Bryant W 91-77 68%     12 - 11 9 - 4 +2.4 +4.7 -3.5
  Feb 13, 2016 306   Robert Morris L 70-72 71%     12 - 12 9 - 5 -14.4 -7.3 -7.0
  Feb 18, 2016 199   Wagner L 74-94 44%     12 - 13 9 - 6 -25.1 +2.1 -27.5
  Feb 20, 2016 298   Sacred Heart L 86-91 69%     12 - 14 9 - 7 -16.8 -5.4 -10.8
  Feb 25, 2016 262   @ Mount St. Mary's W 67-54 37%     13 - 14 10 - 7 +9.7 -0.3 +10.7
  Feb 27, 2016 351   @ Central Connecticut St. W 81-75 78%     14 - 14 11 - 7 -8.9 +1.4 -10.1
  Mar 02, 2016 297   St. Francis (PA) W 74-72 69%     15 - 14 -9.8 -4.9 -4.9
  Mar 05, 2016 262   Mount St. Mary's W 80-75 59%     16 - 14 -4.1 +5.6 -9.8
  Mar 08, 2016 199   @ Wagner W 87-79 24%     17 - 14 +8.7 +10.8 -2.7
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0